PREDICTION MARKET OPTIONS.

SAME RISK.
MORE GAIN

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₿BITCOIN MARKET↑ ABOVE🔥 TRENDING

BTC above $150K?

DECEMBER 26

Profit starts above $150K. The higher Bitcoin finishes, the more you earn.

BTC now$112,840

TodayExpiry

More predictions

RANGEDEC 26

Where will BTC finish the year?

MOVENOV 28

Will BTC make a 15% move?

Profit from a large move in either direction.

TWO ASSETSDEC 26

Will ETH rally while BTC falls?

An ETH call and BTC put combine into one defined-risk view.

YOUR OUTSIZE ACCOUNT

Portfolio

Track your positions, current value and maximum risk.

USDC BALANCE—Connect a wallet to view

CAPITAL AT RISK$0Maximum possible loss

CURRENT VALUE$0Marked using current Derive prices

PERFORMANCE

Current value

POSITIONS

Your predictions

CREATOR FEES

Your fee share

Connect X to see fees earned from your prediction links.

Claim within 30 days of each fill. Unclaimed fees stay with Outsize. Claimed fees do not expire while awaiting monthly payout. Creator fees are separate from your trading balance.

OPTIONS, WITHOUT THE OPTIONS CHAIN

Pick the outcome.
Outsize handles the structure.

Simple market questions on top. Defined-risk options on Derive underneath.

01PICK A MARKET

Start with a prediction

Choose an asset, target and date in language that already makes sense.

02SET YOUR RISK

Choose the most you can lose

Your purchase amount is your maximum risk. There is no liquidation.

03SEE THE PAYOFF

Move the outcome

Preview how the position changes at different expiry prices before committing.

04TRADE ON YOUR TERMS

Sell any time

Sell your position any time before the date, or hold it through automatic settlement at expiry.

UNDER THE HOOD

A prediction-market interface.
An options payoff.

Prediction markets normally settle to a fixed amount. Outsize can keep paying more as the move gets larger because the underlying instrument is an option.

Pricing: Best available Derive execution
Custody: Collateral deposited on Derive
Risk: Shown before entry
Fees: Outsize fee plus Derive trading fees; included in risk
Exit: Close before expiry when liquidity is available
Settlement: Automatic at expiry

Know the trade-off.

Options can expire worthless. Quotes, liquidity and implied volatility change. Outsize simplifies selection and explanation; it does not remove market risk.